The NFL playoffs begin this Saturday and the biggest question will be whether the Kansas City Chiefs go for a three-peat. After winning back-to-back Super Bowls, Kansas City looks destined to win the big game again, clinching home field advantage in the AFC with a 15-2 record. Their primary AFC challengers remain the same as the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens are right behind them in the standings.
In the NFC is where it gets interesting. The Detroit Lions were the class of the conference with a 15-2 record of their own. Their division features two other strong teams in the Vikings and Packers. Meanwhile, the Eagles managed to put last year's collapse behind them en route to a 14-win campaign. Other teams like the Rams look like a dark horse Super Bowl contender. Here are my playoff predictions. AFC Wildcard: #2 Bills over #7 Broncos The Bills are flying high and that is due to Josh Allen who is playing some of his most efficient, if not the best football of his career. They are going to be one step ahead of Denver the entire game. The Broncos' offense with rookie QB Bo Nix will be competitive, but an MVP-type performance from Allen seems likely. #3 Ravens over #6 Steelers It has been a December to remember for the Ravens as they won their last four to clinch the AFC North. They will keep up their momentum against a struggling Pittsburgh team who they beat three weeks ago. Lamar Jackson might have some hiccups but Derrick Henry will likely get lots of carries for plenty of yards. The defense will also contain Pittsburgh's dormant offense. #5 Chargers over #4 Texans The Chargers' successful turnaround season will continue in the playoff opener against the Texans. As much as Houston has struggled recently, I think they will actually put up a better fight than expected. However, the Chargers know how to play together under Jim Harbaugh. They won't make many mistakes like past teams, and Justin Herbert will notch his first playoff win. Divisional #1 Chiefs over #5 Chargers This is unfortunately where the Chargers' season will end. The Chiefs' team that needed the field goal bouncing off the uprights to win their last meeting, has played much better since. Patrick Mahomes has been the catalyst of an offense that's played very productive as of late. With Andy Reid fresh off a bye, their offense is in for a big day. #3 Ravens over #2 Bills I see Baltimore running a ball-control offense to keep Allen and co. off the field for extended periods of time. Jackson will be better through the air than the Steeler game, but Henry is going to add to his impressive playoff resume. Allen will put up a fight, but if the Ravens' streaky secondary plays like the talented unit it is, he won't have much help. Championship #3 Ravens over #1 Chiefs I'm very cautious of picking against the Chiefs, but I believe Baltimore can win based on how their offense looks now compared to the first meeting. Both Henry and Mark Andrews were under utilized but have since emerged as major focal points of the Ravens' offense. Their impact will make a significant difference. The Baltimore's defense will contain Mahomes just enough in the end to win. NFC Wildcard #2 Eagles over #7 Packers The Eagles are on a mission after last year's disastrous ending and the next step will take place against Green Bay. Their offense led by Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley won't be overpowering, but they will do just enough. Philadelphia's defense will be the difference. They're much improved from the last time they faced the Packers, which is bad news for Jordan Love. #6 Commanders over #3 Buccaneers This game is going to be a shootout between Jayden Daniels and Baker Mayfield. Both offenses can be unstoppable, but I see Daniels emerging victorious. He is bound to have more support from the defense and running game after single handily carrying Washington in the last two games he started and finished. Washington wins their first playoff game since 2005. #5 Vikings over #4 Rams The Vikings are going to pull this out in what might be a sloppy game. Their defense hasn't played its best football recently and going against a solid Rams' offense won't do them any favors. However, Sam Darnold has heard lots of criticism and he'll take his frustration out on the Rams. Los Angeles has had an unfortunate week having to relocate due to the fires. They'll play hard, but this is Darnold's game to lose. Divisional Round #1 Lions over #6 Commanders Detroit's high-powered offense will be too much for the Commanders. Jared Goff will feed receivers Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams with plenty of targets against a flawed secondary. What makes Detroit's offense so potent is their ability to target their opponent's weakness. In this game, the passing offense will lead them to victory. #5 Vikings over #2 Eagles The Vikings will beat the Eagles in a game that I don't think will be that close. The Eagles may be talented, but they don't have the coaching Minnesota does. Kevin O'Connell will thoroughly out-coach Nick Sirianni, while Justin Jefferson has his way with a promising but young secondary. The defense will also force the Eagles to throw the ball a ton which isn't their strength. Championship #1 Lions over #5 Vikings For the third time this season, Detroit will emerge victorious against Minnesota. It won't be a blowout like the final week, but it also won't come down to the wire like week 7. Minnesota might start out strong but I see the Lions seizing all the momentum before halftime. Dan Campbell has additionally had this date circled for a long time after blowing a 17 point lead last year. He'll make all the right decisions this time around. Super Bowl #3 Ravens over #1 Lions Like 2012, the Ravens will be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy in the Superdome after the final whistle. Detroit's injuries on defense will be too much for the offense to overcome, as Jackson and Henry each go over 100 yards. Aiden Hutchson will provide inspiration assuming he returns from his leg injury in October, but the Lions are missing far too many other defensive contributors. Jackson will officially shed the label of under-performing in the playoffs, and give Baltimore its third championship. Every NFL season, one division manages to distinguish itself from the other seven divisions. It may involve multiple teams with over 10 wins, or even three teams in the playoffs. This year, one division has accomplished both feats. The NFC North has ascended into football's toughest division with the Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings, and Green Bay Packers all notching at least 10 wins. They are not only the class of the division, but of the entire NFC as all three clinched a playoff spot well before the season’s end. This is how the NFC North, with the exception of the Bears, became the division no one wants to play.
For the Detroit Lions, their journey resulted from a head coaching change, a timely trade, and great drafting. Head coach Dan Campbell took over a team that was in need of a rebuild. Dealing longtime franchise quarterback Matthew Stafford for Jared Goff and multiple first round picks emphasized the team’s objective towards a makeover. While the early results weren’t promising, the Lions are now regarded as a Super Bowl contender four years after hiring Campbell. Thanks to his aggressive and hard-nosed approach, the Lions have set a franchise record for the most wins in a season (14) with a shot at the NFC’s one seed. Goff has particularly been a focal point of the Lions’ rebuild. He went from possibly losing his job as a starter, to leading a juggernaut offense that involves playmakers like Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, and David Montgomery. This season has seen Goff unlock his true ceiling as the number one pick with career highs in almost every passing category. https://x.com/StBrownPodcast/status/1868739119788310628 While Goff may be Detroit’s most valuable player, they assembled the majority of their roster through draft picks. In almost every round, they hit on early picks such as Penei Sewell and Aiden Hutchenson, Day 2 choices in Brian Branch and Sam LaPorta, and even late round selections like St. Brown. Some of their homegrown talent can be attributed to extra draft capital the team got when they traded Stafford, but most of it is due to the organization’s tremendous talent evaluation. The Minnesota Vikings have been the most surprising team of this group. Unlike Detroit, Minnesota’s success has come through their free agents, with Sam Darnold being their most significant addition. Darnold - who was supposed to be a bridge quarterback while rookie JJ McCarthey developed - has emerged as this year’s feel-good story. After three different stops, Darnold has never looked more like the number three pick he was drafted as back in 2018. Darnold's connection with wide receiver Justin Jefferson has grown into one of the deadliest combinations. His play is a huge reason why the VIkings have overachieved with 14 wins. O'Connell especially deserves credit for Darnold's resurgence as he's solidified himself among the league's top coaches. https://x.com/NFL/status/1870981585404891470 Darnold is not the only newcomer to make a difference for Minnesota. The Vikings arguably had the best free agency with a solid portion of their contributors coming through free agency. Darnold and Jefferson have boosted Minnesota’s passing attack into one of the league’s elite, while free agent running back Aaron Jones has provided a complementary run-game. Defensively, free agents Andrew Van Ginkel and Johnathan Greenard have emerged as the newest Purple People Eaters. They’ve accounted for a combined 22 out of Minnesota’s 47 sacks in Brian Floras’ blitz-heavy scheme. Of the three teams leading the NFC North, Green Bay has remained a staple in the division. Matt LaFleur and Jordan Love have continued to build off a promising 2023 campaign. Love has continued to establish himself as Green Bay’s newest franchise quarterback after taking over for Aaron Rodgers last season. While he hasn't had a MVP caliber season like some expected, he has proceeded to keep the Packers in Super Bowl contention. His 25 touchdowns without a true number one receiver make for an efficient passing offense. However, most of Green Bay's offensive production has come through the running game, thanks to newly signed running back Josh Jacobs. The defense, which was once considered a weak link, has now turned into a brick wall. They’ve dramatically improved in both total and rushing yards allowed, along with turnovers. Both of these upgrades can be attributed to free agency. Signing running back Josh Jacobs and safety Xavier McKinney to big contracts were risky given they almost made the 2023 NFC Championship Game. I initially thought they would've been better off returning the same roster, but both of them have been gifts that keep on giving. Jacobs' power and agility are a perfect fit in LaFleur's run-heavy scheme. McKinney has helped turn Green Bay's defense into one of the stingiest units with seven interceptions. https://x.com/CoachDanCasey/status/1861110385945760167 It is highly surprising that one particular division is this good. This is the fifth straight year where three teams from the same division made the playoffs. It’s rare however that they’re all legitimate contenders. Every team’s point differential is above 120 which has never happened since the NFL’s division realignment in 2002. Winning the NFC this season will require going up North. The New York Jets are in the midst of arguably their most disappointing season in franchise history. Getting back future hall of fame quarterback Aaron Rodgers from a season ending injury the previous year was supposed to wipe away years of frustration but this season has only added to the list. No matter what they've done, from changing coaches to trading for Davante Adams, nothing has worked. With three weeks until the season's conclusion, here's how the Jets can do to fix it.
While the best case scenario would be for owner Woody Johnson to sell the team, that is unlikely to happen. However, he can at least hire people who are capable of changing the culture. The first smart move is hiring a general manager who has a vision for the entire team. That general manager must get players who can fill in needs while maintaining strengths of the team. While acquiring star talent helps, they really just need guys who can install a winning mindset. DJ Reed and CJ Mosley are two examples of free agent signings who fit this criteria. For the draft, getting contributors in the later rounds is also a necessity. Joe Douglas did hit on some first round picks, but his only successful pick after the second round was cornerback Michael Carter. That’s a stark contrast compared to the Lions who have drafted multiple starters in the third round and beyond. In addition to the general manager, the Jets also need to hire the right head coach. A good coach can create a culture that will benefit the team on game days. There have certainly been disappointing players on the Jets, but it’s reasonable to believe that with all the talent, a better coaching staff would have them in the thick of the playoff picture. Slow starts, poor clock management, and penalties have caused the Jets to go 0-7 in games decided by six or less points. John Dorsey should be at the top of the list. He was the original architect of the Chiefs’ dynasty and helped set the Browns up to make the playoffs in 2020 and 2023. Right now he has been a voice upstairs for the Lions as their Senior Personnel Executive. There are also a few assistant general managers worth looking at. Ray Agnew has helped engineer major turnarounds with the Rams and Lions, while Mike Borgonzi helped reload the Chiefs roster en route to two Super Bowl Championships. For the head coaching search, the Jets need someone who will stay true to his approach even if it doesn’t initially work out. Dan Campbell, for instance, didn’t win a game for the Detroit Lions his first season until December. However, he never lost sight of his philosophy and now the Lions have the league’s best record. In order to win games, whoever the new coach is will have to convince some of the team’s young talent to stay. Many players such as Wilson, Sauce Gardner, Breece Hall, and Jermaine Johnson will have expiring contracts. At this rate, it’s hard for the Jets to convince them that better days are ahead with the continuous losing. Those are foundational pieces who a coach would want to build a team around. Mike Vrabel should be at the top of the list. His success with the Titans makes him appealing, but it’s his emphasis on accountability and toughness that can set a new tone for the team right away. Brian Flores is another veteran who won in his previous stop. Despite never making the playoffs with the Dolphins, his 24-17 career record after starting 0-8 his first year deserves attention. Whether he has changed following his harsh treatment of Tua Tagovailoa must be monitored. Former Seattle Seahawks coach Pete Carroll is also an intriguing option. He is 73, but if he’s interested in returning, the Jets should try to get him. Carroll gives them a Super Bowl-winning head coach, which they haven’t had since Bill Parcells. Other intriguing options do involve Lions assistants Ben Johnson and Aaron Glenn though it would be risky for the Jets to turn to another unproven head coach. The Jets don’t have to look far to see what a good hire can do. The Chargers always had the reputation for finding new ways to lose but head coach Jim Harbaugh now has them as the front runners for a wild card spot. Even though it’s another sport the Jets can also look in local papers at how the Knicks turned from a laughingstock into contenders once they had the right leadership in place. It’s not like the new regime won’t have a good roster to work with either, as this roster has players capable of snapping the playoff drought. With the right hires, maybe Jet fans will be discussing the playoffs rather than draft picks. The Boston Celtics completed their quest for an 18th championship in a convincing five game triumph over the Dallas Mavericks. Their success came after years of falling just short and now that they're on top, there’s talk of a potential dynasty coming into effect. While they are understandably regarded as the favorites to repeat next season, there are a fair number of teams who are poised to knock off Boston. This list will only consist of teams who may have emerged as contenders. This excludes Longtime playoff teams and frontrunners like the Nuggets and 76ers and talented teams with shrinking windows such as the Bucks and Lakers.
1. Minnesota Timberwolves Although it was Dallas who beat Minnesota in the conference finals, the Timberwolves will take the top spot in this list. Minnesota won 56 games and appeared in their first conference finals since 2004. They beat veteran playoff teams such as the Phoenix Suns and the defending champion Denver Nuggets, before ultimately running out of gas. However, it’s easy to forget that if Minnesota’s offense didn’t go ice cold at the end of the first three games, it might’ve been a different series. Shooting guard Anthony Edwards fully emerged as a superstar this season. He improved in almost every phase and made All NBA for the first time at 22 years old. Edwards shares the backcourt with Mike Conley who gives the team a veteran presence as well as a mentor for their newest draft pick Rob Dillingham. The defense was anchored by Rudy Gobert, who bounced back after a rocky 2023 season to win Defensive Player of the Year, and Jaden McDaniels who made All-Defensive Second Team. Naz Reid gave the team depth winning Sixth Man of the Year and emerged as a clutch player in the playoffs. Minnesota’s biggest roster change was trading away homegrown star Karl Anthony-Towns to the Knicks for Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo. Randle has made two All-NBA appearances in three years and was well on his way toward another last season before going down with a season ending shoulder injury. DiVincenzo is coming off a career year with 15 points on 40% three point shooting. His shooting off the catch will bring more diversity to the Minnesota offense. 2. New York Knicks The Knicks’ resurgence under head coach Tom Thibodeau continued in a big way in 2024. They won 50 games for the first time in 11 years and were one win from the Conference Finals before a mountain of injuries proved to be too much. But to even be in that position was impressive, and New York now has the formula to be a championship contender. Point guard Jalen Brunson is arguably the franchise’s best player at the position since Walt Frazier in the 1960s and 70s. His toughness and creativity captured the hearts of all Knick fans as he blossomed into one of the NBA’s premier point guards. Guys such as Josh Hart, OG Anunoby, and Mitchell Robinson all have their own abilities that benefit the team on offense and defense. They also pushed a lot of buttons this offseason bringing in Karl Anthony-Towns and Mikal Bridges. Anthony-Towns does come at the cost of giving up Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo, but he’s someone who can take lots of attention off Brunson with his floor spacing. Bridges fits Thibodeau’s system thanks to his durability, offensive production without being ball-dominant, and defensive prowess on the perimeter. The team also re-signed Anunoby and inked Brunson to a four year, $156 million extension. It was a team-friendly deal that will enable the Knicks to pursue other valuable assets in the future. If this team can stay healthy and mesh well, there will be orange and blue for a while in New York. 3. Dallas Mavericks The Dallas Mavericks were one of the league’s hottest teams during the final two months and proceeded to ride that momentum into the NBA Finals. While their run quickly ended in the hands of the Celtics, Dallas figures to remain in contention. Their biggest strength lies in the backcourt where Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving had no problem meshing in their first full season. Both players took turns showing off their impeccable ball handling and amazing shot-making as they engineered Dallas’ strong finish. They only got better in the playoffs where Doncic and Irving combined for the most playoff points by a starting backcourt duo in NBA history with 1,079. Dallas has fortified their roster through various trades going back to the 2023 draft. They acquired Dereck Lively from the Oklahoma City Thunder on that night, and later traded for PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford during the trade deadline. All of them emerged as key contributors throughout Dallas’ playoff run. Their most significant offseason move was signing Klay Thompson from the Golden State Warriors. It will be interesting to see how he fits with Irving and Doncic. Thompson’s best days from the Golden State Warriors may be past him, but his ability to score off the ball could be a great compliment for ball-dominant players like Irving and Doncic. 4. Oklahoma City Thunder The Oklahoma City Thunder continued their resurgence from 2023 into last season. They claimed the number one seed in the Western Conference and won their first playoff series since 2016 before falling to the Mavericks in the semifinals. Their turnaround came on the strength of their big three, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, and Jalen Williams. Each of them were impactful thanks to their own skill sets. Gilgeous-Alexander made his second straight first team All-NBA and looks like he can lead a championship team. Holmgren showed no signs of a foot injury that kept him out all of 2023, and had a strong rookie season. He can score inside or outside and is already one of the top rim protectors. Jalen Willams would be a number two or even a first option on multiple teams thanks to his playmaking and versatility. While the loss to Dallas was a bit of a letdown given the Thunder having home court advantage, the experience should only make a talented team better going forward. To help instill that mindset, they added Alex Caruso and Isaiah Hartenstein who have adequate playoff experience. They additionally make numerous plays on offense that don’t show up in the statsheet, and while elevating an already stingy defense. Last Friday, the New York Knicks traded Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo among others to the Minnesota Timberwolves for Karl Anthony-Towns in a blockbuster move. The timing of the trade is surprising given that most moves happen in July, and the NBA season starts in less than a month. As for the players involved, it seems like a decent trade on paper. The Knicks still are among the league’s contenders, but they are rolling the dice in more ways than one.
On the positive side, Towns is very talented. He possesses a unique skill set for a big man thanks to his ability to score in the paint and beyond the three point arc. He has averaged over 20 points in the last eight seasons to go along with a career average 10 rebounds. Towns’ skills on the perimeter particularly separate him from other big men. His 39.8% three point shooting is the best among all centers in NBA history, which should benefit the Knicks who will now have even more floor spacing. Towns gave fans a preview of that skillset in their opening preseason game when he drained a 27 foot three pointer for his first points. https://x.com/CourtsideBuzzX/status/1843038325764149598 He also began to embrace the role of a number two option in Minnesota, which bodes well for Jalen Brunson. The Knicks clearly want to maximize Brunson’s skills and Towns gives them a legitimate scoring threat who can space the floor. Both of their skill sets give them the potential to be a dangerous offense duo. I attended their preseason game against the Washington Wizards and was already impressed by the two-man game between both players. Towns' floor spacing allows him to succeed on the pick and roll or pick and pop. He's also capable of setting up Brunson to score as Towns is a decent passer for his position. From a lineup standpoint, the Knicks likely felt they had a surplus of guys who play both shooting guard and small forward. When they traded for Mikal Bridges back in June, it meant that DiVincenzo and Josh Hart would be playing reduced minutes. While the Knicks could’ve used a committee to give Bridges, DiVincenzo, and Hart similar minutes, this trade helps give them more stability in that area. Bridges and Hart will be playing the same range of minutes from around 30-35 a game which gives them more chances to be impactful. More importantly, Towns has helped turn the Timberwolves into a regular playoff team. They’ve made three straight playoff appearances with this past season being their deepest playoff run in 20 years. His growing playoff experience fits well with a Knicks team that has also made the playoffs three times in the last four years. However, there are also multiple risks that come with this trade. Towns hasn’t exactly been healthy in recent years. Since 2019, Towns has played 250 out of 382 games, which is a vast comparison to Randle who only missed 17 games in four seasons before suffering a season ending shoulder injury in January. Discipline is also a problem for Towns. He has gotten in foul trouble in each of his last three playoff appearances, which ultimately affected his minutes down the stretch. Given that discipline is a huge component of the Knicks defense, Towns doesn’t have to be an elite rim protector like Dikembe Mutombo, but he has to play smarter on that end. Even if he does happen to be everything the Knicks hope, they need his production to be sustainable in the long term. Towns has a large contract that will kick in starting this season. Whereas Randle was eligible for a four year, $181 million extension, Towns’ salary will be four years and $220 million. The lowest the Knicks will have to pay in a single season will be the $49 million he’s owed this year. Finally, there’s the fact that Randle and DiVincenzo have already proved to be critical pieces for the Knicks. Randle is one of the prime reasons why the Knicks have become a winning team. When the Knicks signed Randle, they were coming off a 17 win season. Since then, Randle has made the Knicks into a regular playoff team. Each year, he’s gotten better and has three all star appearances and two All-NBA selections to back it up. He was well on his way to another All-NBA appearance before injuring his shoulder in January. DiVincenzo blossomed into an essential contributor in his lone season with the Knicks. A fiery competitor, DiVincenzo averaged a career high 15.5 points on 40% three-point shooting. He was one of the few Knicks who was healthy the entire season and he only got better as the season went on. In the playoffs, DiVincenzo relished big moments, hitting multiple go-ahead shots under the final minute. This is the definition of a blockbuster move. Towns gives the Knicks a player that is talented and capable of complementing Brunson. If he can stay healthy, Towns will thrive on the offensive end and give New York another threat to close out games. However, the Knicks are risking the chemistry on the team. Despite the injuries, the Knicks were a very tight-knit team that embraced all of their responsibilities. Lots of Knicks fans anticipate what a healthier version would look like, and there’s still plenty of reason to be excited. However, team chemistry will be another thing to watch more than last year. The days before the NFL season continue to draw near. Teams are in the heart of training camp and with preseason games happening, it won't be long before the regular season. There will be plenty of teams going in with different expectations compared to last year. Some of that has to do with their performance last year, while other teams have made significant roster changes. Here are my boldest takes for the upcoming season.
1. The Texans Will Clinch The AFC's One Seed The Houston Texans were undoubtedly the most surprising team last year. After winning a combined 11 games from 2020-22, they went 10-7 which clinched a playoff spot and the AFC South. They then defeated the Cleveland Browns in the Wild Card before falling in the divisional round to the Baltimore Ravens. First year Head Coach DeMeco Ryans and rookie quarterback CJ Stroud were most responsible for the turnaround. Stroud's rookie season is already regarded as one of the best of all time, as he won Offensive Rookie of the Year. However, he wasn't the only Texan to win a Rookie of the Year award. Defensive end Will Anderson won Defensive Rookie of the Year, making him and Stroud the fourth pair of teammates in NFL history to accomplish the feat. “With CJ, the thing that stood out from the skills standpoint is as we all saw him, he can put the ball anywhere he needs to in a very accurate manner,” Ryans said. “I think at that quarterback position when you have a calm demeanor and your teammates see that, it’s a confidence.” However, the Texans have not reached their full potential. Stroud, Anderson, and fellow third round receiver Tank Dell will continue to get better with more experience. They had a busy offseason fortifying their roster to compete for championship. On offense, they upgraded their running game with Joe Mixon and added Stefon Diggs to go along with Dell and Nico Collins. Houston also added to their defense with Danielle Hunter and Denico Autry, who have a combined 146.5 sacks, and linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair who played for Ryans’ defense with the San Francisco 49ers. This is a team that has all the assets to finish the season as the AFC's number one seed. If CJ Stroud elevates his game as expected, the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC could run through Houston. 2. The Atlanta Falcons Will Have A Top Five Offense While Houston exceeded expectations, the Atlanta Falcons have the foundation to become a juggernaut offensively. They used multiple top 10 draft picks on skill positions - Kyle Pitts, Drake London, and Bijan Robinson - who all showed potential but were held back by suspect coaching and mediocre quarterback play. However, there are two components that should change this. The first is hiring Los Angeles Rams’ defensive coordinator Raheem Morris as head coach. Although he comes from the defensive side, Morris brings in fellow offensive assistants from Sean McVay’s decorated system. The second is signing pro bowl quarterback Kirk Cousins in free agency. Cousins has always been a steady passer and was in the midst of a career year for the Minnesota Vikings before tearing his ACL in week eight. If he recovers, the Falcons could have something special. Only four quarterbacks have a higher all-time completion percentage with at least 1,500 pass attempts than Cousins. He is especially known to heavily target his best offensive weapons, which should certainly benefit both London and Pitts. https://x.com/BleacherReport/status/1733951294141022512 https://x.com/NFL/status/1738987647882920187 Meanwhile, Robinson’s effectiveness in a zone-schemed offense bodes well in a system that once revolutionized football with various zone-running concepts. A strong offensive line anchored by center Drew Dalman and guard Chris Lindstorm will additionally provide many rushing lanes for Robinson along with time for Cousins in the pocket. https://x.com/NFL/status/1703468457356882147 3. Kyle Hamilton Will Win Defensive Player of the Year According to most experts, Kyle Hamilton of the Baltimore Ravens is arguably the best safety going into 2024. Although he earned this reputation in his second year, odds of winning Defensive Player of the Year aren’t in Hamilton’s favor. Only five players at the position have ever won the award. However, it is fitting that Hamilton’s play style resembles the last safety to win the award, Troy Polamalu. Like Polamalu, Hamilton excels wherever he lines up whether it’s at safety, slot cornerback, or linebacker. According to Pro Football Focus, Hamilton lined up at safety 390 times, slot cornerback 465 times, and linebacker 205 times. He stuffed the stat sheet with 81 tackles, three sacks, 13 pass deflections which led all safeties, and four interceptions with one going for a touchdown. Hamilton’s versatility resulted in a pro bowl and first team all-pro selection. “When you have a player like Kyle Hamilton, who does so many things so well, you want to get him in position to do all of those things,” head coach John Harbaugh said. More importantly, Hamilton played a major role on a Ravens team that had the AFC’s best record. His breakout season was a huge reason why Baltimore’s defense allowed the fewest points in football. It’s rare for a safety to be a difference maker at multiple positions and with the Ravens primed to make another huge playoff run, it’s possible a safety finally wins the award. 4. The 49ers and Rams Will Meet in a NFC Championship Game Despite the San Francisco 49ers narrowly losing the Super Bowl and the Rams making the playoffs, there wasn’t much drama to the rivalry compared to other seasons. However, an encore of the 2021 NFC Championship game which ended in a 20-17 Rams’ victory could be on the table. The 49ers will be hungry to finish the job and they have the talent to get back to the big game. Head Coach Kyle Shanahan oversees a talented offense featuring an efficient passing game with Brock Purdy, and a top ranked rushing attack led by Christian McCaffrey. Defensively, Nick Bosa is a scary sight for any quarterback while Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw are as good of a linebacking duo as there is in the NFL. Chavarius Ward can match up against any number one receiver and a healthy Talanoa Hufanga will be valuable for the secondary. Meanwhile, the Rams enjoyed a resurgent season after experiencing a let down following their Super Bowl 56 win. Sean McVay’s passing attack was revitalized thanks to a fully healthy Matthew Stafford and the emergence of fifth round receiver Puka Nacua. Super Bowl MVP Cooper Kupp showed he was still capable of making an impact, and they also got a boost in the running game with Kyren Williams finishing third in rushing yards. While another championship meeting would feature new characters such as Purdy, McCaffrey, and Nacua, the stakes wouldn’t change. It would still produce a highly competitive and intense game between two old rivals. There is a ton of anticipation surrounding the U.S. Men’s Olympic Basketball team for the 2024 Paris Olympics. They have a decorated roster with talent ranging from Basketball Hall of Famers like LeBron James and Stephen Curry, to potential faces of the league such as Anthony Edwards. As a whole, this year’s roster consists of four MVP winners and seven champions. In contrast, the previous two teams had Kevin Durant as the only MVP winner and just two more NBA champions combined than this year’s team.
The makeup of Team USA from a skills perspective is highly balanced with players who can succeed in different ways. Offensively, they have guys who could score without needing the ball, along with other players who are willing to guard the opposing team’s best player. “We have the ability to play different styles,” Hall of Famer and USA Basketball Managing Director Grant Hill said recently in an interview with Andscape. “We have flexibility. We can go big, we can go small. We have shooting and we have experience.” One guy who checks all of those boxes is, of course, LeBron James. After winning his second gold medal in 2012, James has built a Hall of Fame career in the last 12 years alone. He may not be athletic like he was, but he returns as a more polished player with a valid case to be proclaimed the greatest of all time. Joining James are Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry, who are seen as the next two best players of their generation after James. Durant is accustomed to Olympic play having won the last three gold medals, while Curry is probably the best point USA has had since Chris Paul in the 2012 Olympics. Defensively, they have two elite rim protectors in Joel Embiid and Anthony Davis. Both of them share a combined eight all defensive selections. Even Team USA’s best role players are Jayson Tatum, who is fresh off a championship, and Devin Booker who is one of the league’s top scorers. As a whole, there are a lot of players who specialize in all different areas which makes it easier for everyone to seamlessly compliment one another. It will require some players to sacrifice some of their skills. Davis and Jrue Holiday might be in the game only for their defense, while Booker might be better suited for a role off the bench. If they’re willing to make these sacrifices, Team USA’s path to gold will be the equivalent of a walk in Luxembourg Gardens. That doesn’t mean there won’t be challenges however. While Team USA boosts the best squad on paper, Olympic basketball is more of a contrast from the NBA game. While an NBA court is 94 by 50 ft, Federal International Basketball Association (FIBA) courts are about 91 by 49 ft. There are also different rules such as players being allowed to touch the ball after it hits the rim, and jump balls getting determined based on who was last awarded possession. Not only are team USA’s opponents more equipped with these regulations, but they also have more experience playing together. Most of these players spend their offseason playing with their countries and are used to playing with each other. Team USA might feature some players who played for the same team during the regular season, but not everyone has played together before. "They have to get acclimated for FIBA and to this style, and that’s what the preparation is all about is trying to get them to understand what wins and loses a FIBA game,” Head Coach Steve Kerr said recently. The teams as a whole have also improved going into these Olympics. Plenty of talented players like Nikola Jokić, Luka Dončić, and Giannis Antetokounmpo will be representing their countries. France, who narrowly lost out on gold to USA in 2021, will receive a massive upgrade with the newest NBA phenom and Rookie of the Year Victor Wembanyama making his Olympic debut. Canada has also emerged as a threat with a talented backcourt of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jamal Murray among other solid NBA players. Germany is bringing back the same team that beat USA Basketball in the World Cup, and nearly won the rematch in the exhibition games. Even with the competition, there are plenty of reasons that team USA will win gold for the fifth straight Olympics. Not only is this one of their most talented rosters, but most of the players they will be counting on have already played in the Olympics at least once. With the competition improving, having experienced players such as James will be a huge factor. In their last two exhibition games against South Sudan and Germany, James’ last minute heroics were the difference. There is also a desire among the players and coaches to keep USA Basketball on top. Even if the players might not admit it, there’s no other reason why James would be returning to the Olympics while also recruiting guys like Curry and Davis. They are eager to show they can help the USA maintain their superiority in basketball at a time where other countries are looking to prove themselves. “We have competitors,” Hill said. “Part of why they want to do this is they want that challenge and they want to show that we could be the best.” The Yankees have given their fans plenty of reasons to be excited about the team’s potential this season. They currently own the best record in baseball at 42-19 and rank in the top five in almost every statistical category among individual players and teams. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto are already dueling for AL MVP, while Anthony Volpe has made a significant jump in his second year. All of these expectations were realistic among among fans before the season.
However, their pitching has emerged as one of the main factors toward their success. When reigning Cy Young winner Gerrit Cole was placed on the injured list for two months due to an elbow injury, the starting unit was faced with a steep task to produce in his absence. However, the team has responded in a big way. Starting pitchers, Carlos Rodon, Luis Gil, Nestor Cortes, Clarke Schmidt, and Marcus Stroman have all contributed which has resulted in a very balanced and effective rotation. They currently lead the league in wins and ERA while placing sixth or better in other pitching categories. The most successful of the bunch are Carlos Rodon and Luis Gil. Rodon signed with the Yankees in 2022 as one of the highest coveted pitchers in free agency. Although he dealt with injuries and inconsistent play last season, Rodon now looks like the big-time pitcher the Yankees envisioned him to be. He has allowed three or less runs in all but one game this season, and holds a 7-2 record. More importantly, Rodon seems comfortable handling the pressure of being a high-priced free agent for the Yankees. "This doesn't feel overwhelming anymore," Rodon said after a win against the Chicago White Sox. "This feels like home which is nice. That makes a big difference." Gil has been the biggest surprise in general for the Yankees. After playing sparingly in 2021 and 2022, he has made a significant impact in his first official season in pinstripes. Gil is tied for the team lead in wins, and his 1.99 ERA is the fifth best in all of baseball. That includes a .70 ERA in May that helped earn him AL Pitcher of the Month. His spectacular month also saw him make some franchise history by setting the rookie record for strikeouts in a game with 14 against the White Sox. https://x.com/BRWalkoff/status/1791903277707407752 Nestor Cortes hasn't quite resembled the all star he was back in 2022, but he has still bounced back from a disappointing 2023 season. Cortes' ERA has dipped from 4.97 to 3.46 and his strikeout-to-walk ratio is a career high 4.9. For Cortes to fully replicate his success from 2022, he'll have to find a way to string together solid performances on the road which is where he's struggled. Before ending up on the injured list with a lat strain, Clarke Schmidt was continuing to find proper footing in the starting rotation. After starting last season with a 2-6 record, Schmidt emerged as the team's second most reliable pitcher after Cole finishing with a 6-2 mark. This season, he was off to a fantastic start with a 5-2 record and a 2.52 ERA. If Schmidt can come back strong this season, he'll be a valuable piece on the back end of their starting rotation. Marcus Stroman has been exactly what the Yankees hoped he could be when they inked him in free agency this past winter. He is performing exceptional as the second starter in the rotation with a 5-2 record and 2.73 ERA. Some of Stroman's most productive outings have occurred without needing to strikeout batters as he leads the team in ground ball outs with 77. What is particularly impressive about the Yankees' starting rotation is their ability to succeed in different ways. On one hand, they have hard throwers like Gil, Schmidt, and Rodon whose go-to pitches travel beyond the average pitch speed, They also have guys like Stroman and Cortes' who throw below the average speed. In addition, they are able to get outs in various ways whether it's Gil's high strikeout rate or Stroman's ability to generate outs in the field. There are some questions to be desired such as whether Gil can continue to thrive in a bigger role. He saw limited action before this season so batters might not be well-prepared to face him. That could change as Gil gets more playing time. There will also be decisions to make in the back end of the rotation when Schmidt returns since Cole will be likely be healthy by then. Cortes undoubtably has the most impressive resume between him, Schmidt, and Gil, but he has also struggled the most out of the three this season. However, Cole's return will certainly ease some of those concerns regardless of how everything else plays out. In four years on the mound, Cole has been every bit of an ace for the Yankees leading the AL in wins, strikeouts, and ERA at least once with his Cy Young award serving as his latest accomplishment. If anything he should elevate the rotation because they have delivered in what has possibly been their most important stretch this season. Last Sunday saw the New York Knicks' season end in convincing fashion to the Indiana Pacers. The combination of injuries and hot-shooting by the Pacers resulted in a 130-109 defeat for the team's biggest game of the season. But for the Knicks to even be in that position is nothing short of spectacular. In their third playoff appearance in four years, this year's team was arguably the best of the bunch and there are many reasons to support that statement.
For starters, the Knicks had their first 50 win season in 11 years and their second overall in the last 24 seasons. They had a talented roster that featured two all stars in Jalen Brunson and Julius Randle, along with a resilient group of guys who stepped up despite injuries to multiple key contributors, including their entire front court. Head coach Tom Thibodeau has installed this mentality within the team since taking over, and he became the fifth coach in Knicks history to make the playoffs three times. Even when the team won six of their last seven games to clinch the number two seed, people believed they should tank for a more favorable matchup in the playoffs rather than face the Philadelphia 76ers who were riding their own hot streak. However, New York was rewarded for their approach as they defeated Philadelphia in six thrilling games, and were up 3-2 against the Pacers before running out of steam. Even with the result, the Knicks established themselves as contenders going forward. At the centerpiece of their team, is point guard Jalen Brunson. Last season, Brunson made an immediate impact leading the Knicks to the second round, but that now seems like a footnote compared to this season. Brunson enjoyed another career year in points and assists, along with his first all-star and All-NBA selections. Through his toughness and creativity, Brunson has become one of New York's most beloved athletes. He might not possess much physical gifts, but Brunson knows how to set up himself and his teammates to succeed. In the playoffs, Brunson continued his brilliance setting a franchise record for points in a playoff game with 47, along with being the fourth player in NBA history to have five or more playoff games with at least 40 points and five assists. https://x.com/NBAonTNT/status/1790567471738446021 However, Brunson isn't the sole reason for the Knicks' success. Although Julius Randle's season abruptly ended with a shoulder injury, he continued to grow his skills since winning Most Improved Player in 2021. After a slow start, Randle began to resemble the All-NBA player he was in two of the previous three seasons, averaging 24 points and nine rebounds. Randle was particularly at his best inside the three point arc where he tied his career best for two-point field goals with 6.9 makes. He was playing some of his best basketball in the last two months before his injury, and should bounce back strong next season. https://x.com/nyknicks/status/1734397520065769683 The Knicks additionally fielded a strong group of role players who excelled in different areas. In December, they traded fan-favorites RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley for OG Anunoby who proved to be a perfect fit with his defense and ability to score off the ball. In every game he suited up, the Knicks went 26-5. https://x.com/nypostsports/status/1786236199864000600 Josh Hart and Isaiah Hartenstien also became beloved role players with their hustle and willingness to make impact plays that didn't always appear in the box score. Their durability was essential during the second half of the season along with the playoffs. Hartenstien made 37 more starts than any other season combined while Hart played four playoff games without resting. https://x.com/NBA/status/1786238471004156058 Donte DiVincenzo enjoyed a career year in his first season wearing orange and blue. He averaged personal bests in scoring and three point percentage. In addition, he had a knack for big shots which occurred in the closing seconds of playoff wins against Philadelphia and Indiana. https://x.com/KnicksMSGN/status/1782594002232983608 Mitchell Robinson was still a reliable rim protector when healthy. He was initially diagnosed with a season ending ankle injury in December, but came back before the playoffs and was giving the team solid minutes before Joel Embiid grabbed his ankles while air-born. Yet Robinson came back during the series and was part of a team effort that contained Embiid in the fourth quarter of game six. Miles McBride went from being seldom used to the team's primary ball-handler off the bench. After trading for Anunoby, the Knicks gave McBride a three year, $13 million contract extension which now looks like a bargain. McBride grew more comfortable running the offense while remaining a tenacious defender. While the Knicks roster lacked the stability that other playoff teams enjoyed, the on-court chemistry every one of their players shared was undeniable. One can point to how Brunson, Hart, and DiVincenzo, who played together at Villanova, possessed their own skills that benefited the team. Or the fact that Anunoby immediately made a difference despite admitting to not fully knowing the plays early on. Unselfish sequences like Hartenstein keeping possessions alive, and the team's hard-nosed defense were common throughout the year. But none of that is possible without Thibodeau installing his philosophy of hard work, toughness, and resilience toward each player. Every player bought in to Thibodeau's culture and it was evident at various points of the season whether it was during the team's red-hot January, or against Philadelphia where all but one game wasn't decided until the final minute. Even during the most adverse times, such as a rough February, their mental toughness never faded. There were multiple players such as Brunson and Robinson playing through injuries, while Anunoby tried playing through a hamstring injury in game 7 before ultimately having to sit out. That type of competitive mindset is what enabled the Knicks to make it so far. This offseason will be more about keeping the roster intact than trying to find a star player. Perhaps no evidence better supports this case than their NBA-best 14-2 record in January. That was the healthiest version of the Knicks' current roster, and they were in the midst of a nine game winning streak at the time of Randle's injury. Despite playing the last two games of the month without him, New York's 246 point differential during the month was higher than any other NBA team in a single month this season. The Knicks will certainly try to resign Anunoby and Hartenstien who are both free agents this summer. Anunoby is expected to return while Hartenstien will be coveted by other teams though he has voiced a desire to stay. Brunson is also eligible for an extension and is reportedly willing to take less money if it means signing this summer. With those moves and some much-needed rest for everyone, a big year could be on the horizon. This year’s NFL Draft featured a heavy dose of wide receivers and offensive lineman. With plenty of high prospects at both positions, only cornerbacks were a more highly coveted position than receivers and offensive tackles by the time the draft ended.
Throughout the first round, many teams went into the draft needing a receiver or an offensive tackle, one of the most important positions on the offensive line, going into the draft. While picking either position would’ve been understandable, it adds to the debate of whether general managers should draft skill positions or offensive lineman. On one hand, a team can’t function on offense without a group of players who can control the line of scrimmage. That being said, it’s important to have pass catchers in what has become a passing league. There is a valid argument for selecting either position, and it is worth looking at both sides. For offensive lineman, there is a better chance that selecting a lineman will be more beneficial in the long term. The career length of an offensive lineman is 3.75 years which is almost a full year above receivers who last 2.81 years, according to Statista. In addition, teams with a cornerstone offensive lineman will have more diversity on offense. They can effectively run the ball behind their all-pro tackle, something the San Francisco 49ers love doing with Trent Williams, or execute pass plays like the Dallas Cowboys. Teams can also afford to pass up a receiver, since they are usually talented options in the later rounds. The Los Angeles Chargers are one team that used this approach. Despite having a young star quarterback in Justin Herbert, they cut ties with most of their skill positions after a disappointing 5-12 season. In the first round, they selected all-world tackle Joe Alt from Notre Dame over drafting a receiver. Alt is arguably the most pro-ready prospect entering the draft, and is a perfect fit for a team that still wants to win now. He and fellow tackle Rashawn Slater will make it easier for Herbert to develop chemistry with his new receivers, such as Ladd McConkey and Brendan Rice who they later drafted. The New York Jets on the other hand, valued longevity up front when it came to their first round selection. Despite acquiring two established tackles in Tyrone Smith and Morgan Moses, they wanted more security at the position which led to them choosing Olu Fashanu from Penn State. Fashanu allowed one sack in his collegiate career, and although the Jets understandably want to win now with Aaron Rodgers turning 40 this December, he gives them a foundational piece in the long run. While it is important for teams to solidify their offensive line, there is also high demand for impact players at wide receivers. Many teams have become more pass-oriented over the years, and there is especially a need for playmakers after a year where the average points per game was second fewest in the last ten seasons. Teams are always looking for players who can be trusted by the quarterback, and in this year’s draft featured plenty of highly touted receivers such as Marvin Harrison Jr., Rome Odunze, and Malik Nabers who were all top 10 picks. One team that particularly set out to upgrade their skill positions were the New York Giants. They were in a position where selecting either an offensive lineman or receiver would have been understandable, but they decided to prioritize the need for reliable receivers with Malik Nabers. Nabers has a knack for explosive plays thanks to his route running, and ability to get yards after the catch. They hope Nabers can fill a void at receiver that has been present since the team traded Odell Beckham Jr. five years ago. In my opinion, it's more sustainable to draft an elite offensive lineman. There’s a better chance a team ends up with a valuable cornerstone whereas receivers are seen as replaceable. Some of the league’s most decorated lineman such as Lane Johnson, Zach Martin, and Trent Williams have played more seasons for the team that drafted them. Even some of today’s bright stars at offensive tackle such as Penei Sewell have recently earned a big payday with others such as Tristan Wirfs waiting in line. There is also less margin for error if a team drafts a wide receiver over an offensive lineman. The Cincinnati Bengals were criticized when they drafted Ja’Marr Chase over Sewell, and while Chase’s potent chemistry with Joe Burrow led to a Super Bowl appearance, the Bengals have routinely had to retool their offensive line every offseason. As for the Lions who did take Sewell, they still managed to find an all-pro receiver of their own with Amon-Ra St. Brown in the fourth round. More often than not, drafting an offensive lineman will leave a team with fewer questions and more answers. |
Date Published
January 2025
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